NHL picks today for October 6, 2026: all 9 games on the board with a straight winner pick on each, plus the best number we could find across the major books. No standout value on today’s board — the market is pricing these tight, so shop the reference numbers below.
Full NHL Slate
| Time | Matchup | Pick | Total | Best number |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:10 PM ET | Utah Mammoth @ New Jersey Devils | New Jersey Devils (54%) | Over 6 (50%) | Utah Mammoth +114 (BetRivers) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Minnesota Wild @ Buffalo Sabres | Buffalo Sabres (50%) | Under 6.5 (52%) | Buffalo Sabres -104 (FanDuel) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Ottawa Senators @ Detroit Red Wings | Ottawa Senators (50%) | Over 6 (50%) | Detroit Red Wings -103 (BetRivers) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Nashville Predators @ Toronto Maple Leafs | Toronto Maple Leafs (58%) | Under 6 (51%) | Nashville Predators +134 (BetUS) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Carolina Hurricanes @ Montréal Canadiens | Carolina Hurricanes (52%) | Under 6.5 (52%) | Carolina Hurricanes -115 (BetOnline.ag) |
| 7:40 PM ET | New York Islanders @ New York Rangers | New York Rangers (58%) | Over 5.5 (52%) | New York Islanders +136 (BetOnline.ag) |
| 8:10 PM ET | St Louis Blues @ Chicago Blackhawks | St Louis Blues (57%) | Over 5.5 (52%) | Chicago Blackhawks +125 (BetUS) |
| 9:10 PM ET | Vegas Golden Knights @ Seattle Kraken | Vegas Golden Knights (61%) | Over 6 (51%) | Seattle Kraken +150 (DraftKings) |
| 10:40 PM ET | Florida Panthers @ Los Angeles Kings | Florida Panthers (53%) | Over 5.5 (54%) | Los Angeles Kings +110 (BetOnline.ag) |
How we read these boards: how to read a matchup.
The Pick comes from our power ratings — season scoring differential, strength-adjusted matchup math, and home edge — blended with the market’s no-vig fair price; the number shown is that blend’s win probability. The Total is built the same way: we estimate each side’s scoring from what these teams score and concede (for baseball, adjusted for the listed starters and the ballpark), recentre that estimate against the day’s posted numbers so a modelling bias can’t tilt the whole board, and compare it to the line. A MODEL FLIP means our ratings like the side the market has as the underdog. A “VALUE” tag is a different thing: it means the best available number beats the fair price by 3–12% (sometimes that value sits on the side we don’t pick to win — a good price and a likely winner aren’t always the same bet). These are leans, not locks — decision support for bets you were already considering, on whatever book or market you use. Lines move; check the current number before you do anything.
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