MLB Picks Today (September 13, 2026): 15 Games, Value Leans & Best Lines

MLB picks today for September 13, 2026: all 15 games on the board with a straight winner pick on each, plus the best number we could find across the major books — plus first-inning YRFI/NRFI leans for every matchup with confirmed starters. No standout value on today’s board — the market is pricing these tight, so shop the reference numbers below.

Full MLB Slate

Over / Under Board

• Over 7 — Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs: our number is 9.06, so we make it 61% to land over — against the posted total.
• Under 9.5 — Seattle Mariners @ Athletics: our number is 8.46, so we make it 56% to land under.
• Under 8.5 — Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins: our number is 7.76, so we make it 55% to land under.
• Over 7.5 — Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins: our number is 8.04, so we make it 54% to land over.
• Over 9 — Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals: our number is 9.58, so we make it 54% to land over.
• Under 9 — Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves: our number is 8.26, so we make it 54% to land under — against the posted total.

YRFI / NRFI Leans

• YRFI Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers — 65% chance of a first-inning run (Gabriel Hughes (5.81 ERA) vs Jackson Jobe (4.45 ERA))
• YRFI Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals — 71% chance of a first-inning run (Grayson Rodriguez (6.28 ERA) vs Jake Irvin (5.52 ERA))
• YRFI Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves — 59% chance of a first-inning run (Andrew Painter (5.71 ERA) vs Grant Holmes (3.46 ERA))
• NRFI New York Mets @ New York Yankees — 68% chance the first inning stays scoreless (Christian Scott (3.81 ERA) vs Cam Schlittler (2.01 ERA))
• NRFI Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays — 69% chance the first inning stays scoreless (Trevor Rogers (4.15 ERA) vs Dylan Cease (2.40 ERA))
• NRFI Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays — 55% chance the first inning stays scoreless (Hayden Wesneski (3.35 ERA) vs Freddy Peralta (4.82 ERA))
• YRFI Los Angeles Dodgers @ Miami Marlins — 53% chance of a first-inning run (Emmet Sheehan (5.08 ERA) vs Eury Pérez (3.94 ERA))
• NRFI Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers — 59% chance the first inning stays scoreless (Chase Burns (2.73 ERA) vs Robert Gasser (4.43 ERA))
• YRFI Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs — 53% chance of a first-inning run (Bubba Chandler (4.25 ERA) vs Matthew Boyd (4.03 ERA))
• NRFI Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox — 62% chance the first inning stays scoreless (Noah Cameron (3.93 ERA) vs Payton Tolle (3.15 ERA))
• YRFI Seattle Mariners @ Athletics — 47% chance of a first-inning run (Bryce Miller (4.22 ERA) vs Jacob Lopez (4.78 ERA))
• NRFI Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks — 62% chance the first inning stays scoreless (Cal Quantrill (2.89 ERA) vs Eduardo Rodriguez (2.55 ERA))
• NRFI San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants — 61% chance the first inning stays scoreless (Nick Pivetta (3.43 ERA) vs Logan Webb (4.10 ERA))

New to first-inning markets? Start with our guide: NRFI and YRFI, explained.

How we read these boards: how to read a matchup.