NHL picks today for October 13, 2026: all 16 games on the board with a straight winner pick on each, plus the best number we could find across the major books. No standout value on today’s board — the market is pricing these tight, so shop the reference numbers below.
Table of Contents
Full NHL Slate
| Time | Matchup | Pick | Total | Best number |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:10 PM ET | New Jersey Devils @ Detroit Red Wings | Detroit Red Wings (56%) | Under 6 (55%) FLIP | New Jersey Devils -105 (DraftKings) |
| 6:25 PM ET | Florida Panthers @ Columbus Blue Jackets | Columbus Blue Jackets (53%) | Under 6 (51%) | Columbus Blue Jackets -120 (FanDuel) |
| 6:40 PM ET | Buffalo Sabres @ Montréal Canadiens | Montréal Canadiens (59%) | Over 6.5 (51%) FLIP | Buffalo Sabres +138 (LowVig.ag) |
| 6:55 PM ET | Washington Capitals @ Carolina Hurricanes | Carolina Hurricanes (65%) | Under 6.5 (53%) | Carolina Hurricanes -153 (LowVig.ag) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Seattle Kraken @ Philadelphia Flyers | Seattle Kraken (77%) MODEL FLIP | Over 6 (52%) | Seattle Kraken +102 (DraftKings) |
| 7:25 PM ET | Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers | New York Rangers (58%) MODEL FLIP | Under 6 (55%) FLIP | Tampa Bay Lightning -160 (FanDuel) |
| 7:40 PM ET | St Louis Blues @ Ottawa Senators | Ottawa Senators (69%) | Over 5.5 (53%) | St Louis Blues +100 (BetRivers) |
| 7:55 PM ET | Vancouver Canucks @ New York Islanders | New York Islanders (75%) | Over 6 (61%) | Vancouver Canucks +195 (LowVig.ag) |
| 8:10 PM ET | Pittsburgh Penguins @ Chicago Blackhawks | Pittsburgh Penguins (76%) | Under 6.5 (50%) | Chicago Blackhawks +127 (Bovada) |
| 8:25 PM ET | Minnesota Wild @ Winnipeg Jets | Minnesota Wild (67%) MODEL FLIP | Under 6.5 (61%) | Minnesota Wild -105 (DraftKings) |
| 8:40 PM ET | Colorado Avalanche @ Dallas Stars | Colorado Avalanche (51%) | Over 6 (52%) | Dallas Stars +100 (BetOnline.ag) |
| 8:55 PM ET | Vegas Golden Knights @ Nashville Predators | Vegas Golden Knights (59%) | Over 6 (50%) | Nashville Predators +112 (BetRivers) |
| 9:10 PM ET | Toronto Maple Leafs @ Utah Mammoth | Utah Mammoth (65%) | Under 6.5 (51%) FLIP | Utah Mammoth -155 (LowVig.ag) |
| 9:55 PM ET | Calgary Flames @ Anaheim Ducks | Anaheim Ducks (84%) | Over 6 (57%) | Calgary Flames +175 (BetRivers) |
| 10:40 PM ET | Edmonton Oilers @ Los Angeles Kings | Edmonton Oilers (55%) | Over 6 (52%) | Los Angeles Kings +114 (LowVig.ag) |
| 11:10 PM ET | Boston Bruins @ San Jose Sharks | Boston Bruins (67%) MODEL FLIP | Under 6 (51%) FLIP | Boston Bruins -105 (FanDuel) |
Over / Under Board
- Under 6.5 — Minnesota Wild @ Winnipeg Jets: our number is 5.38, so we make it 61% to land under.
- Over 6 — Vancouver Canucks @ New York Islanders: our number is 7.2, so we make it 61% to land over.
- Over 6 — Calgary Flames @ Anaheim Ducks: our number is 6.68, so we make it 57% to land over.
- Under 6 — New Jersey Devils @ Detroit Red Wings: our number is 5.48, so we make it 55% to land under — against the posted total.
- Under 6 — Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers: our number is 5.45, so we make it 55% to land under — against the posted total.
- Under 6.5 — Washington Capitals @ Carolina Hurricanes: our number is 6.33, so we make it 53% to land under.
How we read these boards: how to read a matchup.
The Pick comes from our power ratings — season scoring differential, strength-adjusted matchup math, and home edge — blended with the market’s no-vig fair price; the number shown is that blend’s win probability. The Total is built the same way: we estimate each side’s scoring from what these teams score and concede (for baseball, adjusted for the listed starters and the ballpark), recentre that estimate against the day’s posted numbers so a modelling bias can’t tilt the whole board, and compare it to the line. A MODEL FLIP means our ratings like the side the market has as the underdog. A “VALUE” tag is a different thing: it means the best available number beats the fair price by 3–12% (sometimes that value sits on the side we don’t pick to win — a good price and a likely winner aren’t always the same bet). These are leans, not locks — decision support for bets you were already considering, on whatever book or market you use. Lines move; check the current number before you do anything.
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