NHL picks today for October 3, 2026: all 13 games on the board with a straight winner pick on each, plus the best number we could find across the major books. No standout value on today’s board — the market is pricing these tight, so shop the reference numbers below.
Full NHL Slate
| Time | Matchup | Pick | Total | Best number |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7:10 PM ET | Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs | Toronto Maple Leafs (51%) | Over 6 (52%) | Ottawa Senators +104 (BetRivers) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Seattle Kraken @ Edmonton Oilers | Edmonton Oilers (65%) | Over 6.5 (50%) | Seattle Kraken +180 (DraftKings) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Washington Capitals @ Tampa Bay Lightning | Tampa Bay Lightning (59%) | Under 6.5 (52%) | Washington Capitals +143 (LowVig.ag) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Carolina Hurricanes @ Philadelphia Flyers | Carolina Hurricanes (54%) | Under 6 (51%) | Philadelphia Flyers +115 (BetOnline.ag) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Chicago Blackhawks @ Buffalo Sabres | Buffalo Sabres (67%) | Under 6.5 (52%) | Chicago Blackhawks +200 (LowVig.ag) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Montréal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins | Montréal Canadiens (54%) | Under 6.5 (51%) | Montréal Canadiens -125 (BetRivers) |
| 7:10 PM ET | Utah Mammoth @ Columbus Blue Jackets | Utah Mammoth (51%) | Over 6 (51%) | Columbus Blue Jackets -102 (FanDuel) |
| 7:40 PM ET | New Jersey Devils @ New York Islanders | New Jersey Devils (55%) | Under 6 (51%) | New York Islanders +120 (Bovada) |
| 8:10 PM ET | Dallas Stars @ Nashville Predators | Dallas Stars (55%) | Over 6 (51%) | Nashville Predators +117 (Bovada) |
| 8:10 PM ET | Boston Bruins @ Minnesota Wild | Minnesota Wild (65%) | Over 6 (53%) | Boston Bruins +178 (Bovada) |
| 9:10 PM ET | St Louis Blues @ Colorado Avalanche | Colorado Avalanche (71%) | Under 6.5 (52%) | St Louis Blues +236 (LowVig.ag) |
| 10:10 PM ET | Calgary Flames @ Vancouver Canucks | Vancouver Canucks (51%) | Over 6 (51%) | Calgary Flames +102 (LowVig.ag) |
| 10:10 PM ET | Los Angeles Kings @ San Jose Sharks | San Jose Sharks (52%) | Under 6.5 (54%) | San Jose Sharks -113 (LowVig.ag) |
How we read these boards: how to read a matchup.
The Pick comes from our power ratings — season scoring differential, strength-adjusted matchup math, and home edge — blended with the market’s no-vig fair price; the number shown is that blend’s win probability. The Total is built the same way: we estimate each side’s scoring from what these teams score and concede (for baseball, adjusted for the listed starters and the ballpark), recentre that estimate against the day’s posted numbers so a modelling bias can’t tilt the whole board, and compare it to the line. A MODEL FLIP means our ratings like the side the market has as the underdog. A “VALUE” tag is a different thing: it means the best available number beats the fair price by 3–12% (sometimes that value sits on the side we don’t pick to win — a good price and a likely winner aren’t always the same bet). These are leans, not locks — decision support for bets you were already considering, on whatever book or market you use. Lines move; check the current number before you do anything.
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